Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.184817 0.217394 0.253765 0.297346 0.348114 0.405357 0.474770
2025-10-12 0.144334 0.188711 0.243415 0.315660 0.408411 0.523342 0.676431
2025-10-19 0.118227 0.167199 0.232159 0.324311 0.451333 0.619900 0.860210
2025-10-26 0.098205 0.148227 0.218725 0.324802 0.479791 0.697302 1.024979
2025-11-02 0.080821 0.129201 0.201119 0.315073 0.490260 0.748373 1.156280
2025-11-09 0.066278 0.111646 0.182434 0.299975 0.489169 0.780389 1.260807
2025-11-16 0.057870 0.102218 0.174510 0.299726 0.509763 0.845992 1.422352
2025-11-23 0.049540 0.091518 0.162832 0.291361 0.515466 0.887612 1.548798
2025-11-30 0.044922 0.086479 0.159805 0.296854 0.544409 0.969450 1.749581
2025-12-07 0.040197 0.080501 0.154241 0.296932 0.563494 1.035904 1.930124
2025-12-14 0.035244 0.073341 0.145533 0.289994 0.568761 1.078096 2.071175
2025-12-21 0.031725 0.068457 0.140411 0.289026 0.584695 1.140596 2.254954
2025-12-28 0.030042 0.067301 0.142826 0.303977 0.634785 1.275245 2.596033
2026-01-04 0.028728 0.066773 0.146524 0.322204 0.694040 1.434797 3.005165
2026-01-11 0.026662 0.064269 0.145757 0.330986 0.734999 1.562721 3.365495
2026-01-18 0.024158 0.060368 0.141432 0.331484 0.758441 1.657518 3.668161
2026-01-25 0.021204 0.054932 0.132942 0.321561 0.757934 1.702229 3.870067
2026-02-01 0.018282 0.049089 0.122690 0.306163 0.743137 1.714502 4.002772
2026-02-08 0.016664 0.046255 0.119106 0.305908 0.762895 1.804210 4.316165
2026-02-15 0.014769 0.042393 0.112483 0.297377 0.762007 1.847286 4.528091
2026-02-22 0.013821 0.040916 0.111599 0.302979 0.795904 1.973673 4.946668
2026-03-01 0.012698 0.038772 0.108709 0.303059 0.816065 2.069770 5.303294
2026-03-08 0.011380 0.035855 0.103370 0.295982 0.817132 2.119959 5.553623